NBA · Dec 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls

FinalIND 120 – CHI 104Page updated 23:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Chicago Bulls

Buddy Hield · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 19 actual

Jalen Smith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 15 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 238 points · odds to win: IND 1.98, CHI 1.93

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:03 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 237 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Obi Toppin · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Buddy Hield · points 12.5 → 19 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Jalen Smith · points 10.5 → 15 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Patrick Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.5 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 23.5 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs IND · last 25 games · IND leads · CHI record 10–15 · average score 112.5–115.4 · CHI has lost by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · IND 145 at CHI 126CHI lost

28 Jan · CHI 110 at IND 113CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1, expected total 238 (Fri 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 115 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 131 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 164 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 188 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 313 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 375 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 385 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 390 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 396 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 397 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 397 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 430 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 109 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 410 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 462 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 464 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 470 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 481 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 486 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 509 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 885 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 888 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 627 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 868 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 870 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 994 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 995 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 996 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.