NBA · Dec 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 119 – DEN 93Page updated 22:20 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 9 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 11 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 19 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: OKC 2.10, DEN 1.82

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:20 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 311 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Jalen Williams · assists 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Julian Strawther · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 11.6 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 27.5 → 19 · 8.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 2, expected total 236.5 (Sat 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 49 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 203 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 225 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 251 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 261 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 282 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 281 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 285 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 294 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 264 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 652 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 344 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 700 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 558 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 557 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 570 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 575 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 579 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 584 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 584 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 613 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 660 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.