NBA · Dec 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Utah Jazz

FinalMIA 109 – UTA 117Page updated 21:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 7 actual

Utah Jazz

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 21 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 230.5 points · odds to win: MIA 1.69, UTA 2.30

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 22:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:19 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Simone Fontecchio · rebounds 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Keyonte George · points 9.5 → 21 · 11.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Lauri Markkanen · rebounds 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

UTA vs MIA · last 13 games · MIA leads · UTA record 4–9 · average score 114.3–114.5 · UTA has lost by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Feb · UTA 115 at MIA 111UTA won

24 Jan · MIA 147 at UTA 116UTA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 3, expected total 230.5 (Sat 22:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 22:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 68 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 72 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 293 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 303 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 306 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 325 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 326 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 363 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 365 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 329 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 664 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 713 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 539 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 728 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 756 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.