NBA · Jan 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Atlanta Hawks

FinalOKC 138 – ATL 141Page updated 18:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 3 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 12 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → no final stat available

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Luguentz Dort · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 248.5 points · odds to win: OKC 2.00, ATL 1.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

OKC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 274 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 3 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · no final price

Luguentz Dort · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 18.5 → 12 · 6.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · no final price

Onyeka Okongwu · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 22 min · no final price

Jalen Johnson · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs OKC · last 12 games · OKC leads · ATL record 5–7 · average score 119.6–122.3 · ATL has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 1, expected total 248.5 (Thu 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 18 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 56 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 107 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 114 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 116 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 137 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 144 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 130 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 326 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 485 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 337 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 506 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 507 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 507 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 580 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 609 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 610 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 656 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.