NBA · Jan 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Denver Nuggets

FinalORL 122 – DEN 120Page updated 16:31 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 27 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 10 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: ORL 4.90, DEN 1.21

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:31 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 284 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Anthony Black · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 4.7 min · no final price

Jalen Suggs · points 15.5 → 27 · 11.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · rebounds 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 40.7 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs ORL · last 14 games · DEN leads · DEN record 9–5 · average score 114.0–109.1 · DEN has won by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 10, expected total 224 (Sat 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 175 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 228 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 234 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 235 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 242 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 244 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 247 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 248 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 260 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 668 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 888 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 369 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 593 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 591 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 593 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 603 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 626 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 710 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.