NBA · Jan 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Houston Rockets

FinalMIL 108 – HOU 112Page updated 15:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIL expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 237 points · odds to win: MIL 1.37, HOU 3.33

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

HOU also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 333 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.2 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 19.5 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.7 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs MIL · last 14 games · HOU leads · HOU record 7–7 · average score 111.4–114.2 · HOU has lost by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · MIL 113 at HOU 119HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIL expected to win by 7, expected total 237 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 193 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 292 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 387 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 395 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 399 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 403 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 404 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 403 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 407 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 412 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 57 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 467 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 820 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 905 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1063 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 333 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 540 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 548 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 574 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 603 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 690 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.