NBA · Jan 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets

FinalDET 114 – DEN 131Page updated 15:07 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 20 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 16 · both teams together expected to score about 236 points · odds to win: DET 10.00, DEN 1.08

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:07 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 279 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · points 26.5 → 4 · 22.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · points 12.5 → 20 · 7.5 above the line · played 30 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 21 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs DET · last 12 games · DEN leads · DEN record 9–3 · average score 118.8–110.5 · DEN has won by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Feb · DEN 121 at DET 124DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 16, expected total 236 (Mon 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 61 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 68 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 217 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 341 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 371 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 386 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 402 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 407 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 410 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 418 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 421 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 423 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 289 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 743 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 767 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 547 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 570 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 638 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.