NBA · Jan 13 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks

FinalNOP 118 – DAL 108Page updated 09:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 227.5 points · odds to win: NOP 2.83, DAL 1.49

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

NOP also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 239 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Dwight Powell · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Herbert Jones · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Naji Marshall · points 17.5 → 13 · 4.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · rebounds 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs NOP · last 27 games · DAL leads · DAL record 17–10 · average score 118.6–112.9 · DAL has won by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Mar · DAL 111 at NOP 129DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 5.5, expected total 227.5 (Sun 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 98 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 124 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 215 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 317 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 330 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 332 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 335 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 359 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 362 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 363 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 366 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 708 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 742 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 489 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 493 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 497 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 497 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.