NBA · Jan 15 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks

FinalNOP 120 – DAL 125Page updated 08:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 14 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NOP expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: NOP 1.55, DAL 2.63

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:13 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 290 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Naji Marshall · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.1 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Herbert Jones · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · points 10.5 → 14 · 3.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · no final price

Zion Williamson · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Dwight Powell · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 16 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs NOP · last 27 games · DAL leads · DAL record 17–10 · average score 118.6–112.9 · DAL has won by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Mar · DAL 111 at NOP 129DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NOP expected to win by 5, expected total 236.5 (Mon 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 97 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 194 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 286 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 294 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 314 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 330 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 336 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 337 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 340 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 347 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 347 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 353 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 261 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 711 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 303 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 728 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 421 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 621 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 626 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 637 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 636 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 656 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.