NBA · Jan 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers

FinalDEN 121 – PHI 126Page updated 06:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 25 actual

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid · minutes unknown

points 33.5 → 41 actual

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 25 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

PHI expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233 points · odds to win: DEN 2.08, PHI 1.83

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

PHI also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 307 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 17.8 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · no final price

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Joel Embiid · points 33.5 → 41 · 7.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Tyrese Maxey · points 27.5 → 25 · 2.5 below the line · played 42.9 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 24.5 → 25 · 0.5 above the line · played 38 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHI vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · PHI record 4–10 · average score 109.7–115.1 · PHI has lost by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · PHI 96 at DEN 124PHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had PHI expected to win by 1.5, expected total 233 (Wed 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 80 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 192 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 201 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 204 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 226 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 234 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 244 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 252 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 257 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 275 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 114 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 596 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 640 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5030 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 465 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 596 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 622 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 645 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 655 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 684 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 684 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.