NBA · Jan 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalDAL 110 – LAL 127Page updated 06:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

points 32.5 → 33 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 244.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.37, LAL 1.66

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 243 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28 min · no final price

Jarred Vanderbilt · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Luka Dončić · points 32.5 → 33 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs DAL · last 24 games · LAL leads · LAL record 12–12 · average score 114.0–112.3 · LAL has won by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · LAL 128 at DAL 134LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAL expected to win by 3, expected total 244.5 (Thu 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 82 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 139 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 322 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 355 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 395 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 396 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 401 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 400 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 400 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 425 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 428 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 405 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 195 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 768 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 787 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 507 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 509 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 517 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.