NBA · Jan 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalMIL 95 – CLE 135Page updated 06:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

Caris LeVert · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 4 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CLE expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: MIL 2.06, CLE 1.85

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Caris LeVert · points 16.5 → 4 · 12.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · no final price

Sam Merrill · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 22 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs MIL · last 26 games · CLE leads · CLE record 14–12 · average score 113.0–111.3 · CLE has won by 1.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · CLE 123 at MIL 116CLE won

25 Feb · CLE 116 at MIL 118CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CLE expected to win by 1.5, expected total 236.5 (Thu 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 68 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 75 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 77 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 129 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 157 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 248 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 272 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 275 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 323 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 330 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 471 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 259 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 691 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 513 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 581 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 663 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 664 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.