NBA · Jan 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics

FinalDEN 102 – BOS 100Page updated 04:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 8 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 12 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 234 points · odds to win: DEN 3.31, BOS 1.38

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 261 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jamal Murray · rebounds 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 5.1 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 16 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 12.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.9 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs DEN · last 13 games · BOS leads · BOS record 7–6 · average score 108.8–105.1 · BOS has won by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Feb · BOS 84 at DEN 103BOS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 7, expected total 234 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 63 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 181 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 187 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 203 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 207 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 262 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 272 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 273 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 279 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 281 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 297 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 102 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 701 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 713 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 471 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 513 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 545 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 682 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 691 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 810 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.