NBA · Jan 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards

FinalDEN 113 – WAS 104Page updated 02:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 11 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Marvin Bagley III · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 14 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 8 actual

Tyus Jones · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 13 actual

Washington Wizards

Bilal Coulibaly · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 237 points · odds to win: DEN 1.14, WAS 6.31

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 02:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

WAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 341 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Tyus Jones · assists 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.1 min · no final price

Marvin Bagley III · points 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Bilal Coulibaly · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 31 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · points 15.5 → 11 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.8 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · WAS record 5–9 · average score 114.0–119.6 · WAS has lost by 5.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Jan · DEN 107 at WAS 97WAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 12.5, expected total 237 (Sun 23:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 111 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 114 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 126 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 440 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 456 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5440 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 316 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 499 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 513 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 532 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 533 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 645 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.