NBA · Jan 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers

FinalDEN 114 – IND 109Page updated 02:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 10 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 9 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 237.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.52, IND 2.72

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 02:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 273 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.9 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 17 · 8.5 above the line · played 21 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.7 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · IND record 2–12 · average score 111.8–119.6 · IND has lost by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 5, expected total 237.5 (Wed 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 90 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 101 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 264 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 316 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 322 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 329 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 328 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 331 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 330 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 90 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 374 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 397 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 443 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 730 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 730 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 455 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 726 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 731 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 732 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 868 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1013 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1033 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1059 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1072 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.