NBA · Feb 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons

FinalORL 111 – DET 99Page updated 14:53 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Kevin Knox II · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 7 actual

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ORL expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: ORL 1.42, DET 3.08

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:53 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Franz Wagner · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · no final price

Kevin Knox II · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 13.1 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 13.5 → 7 · 6.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Ausar Thompson · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Jalen Suggs · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 28 min · no final price

Jalen Duren · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs ORL · last 30 games · ORL leads · DET record 14–16 · average score 106.1–106.6 · DET has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 May · ORL 94 at DET 116DET won

1 May · DET 93 at ORL 79DET won

29 Apr · ORL 109 at DET 116DET won

27 Apr · DET 88 at ORL 94DET lost

25 Apr · DET 105 at ORL 113DET lost

22 Apr · ORL 83 at DET 98DET won

19 Apr · ORL 112 at DET 101DET lost

6 Apr · DET 107 at ORL 123DET lost

1 Mar · DET 106 at ORL 92DET won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ORL expected to win by 6.5, expected total 230 (Sun 20:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 26 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 29 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 107 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 122 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 435 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 541 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4954 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 421 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 461 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 612 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 641 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 645 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 656 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 669 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 673 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.