NBA · Feb 26 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings

FinalMIA 121 – SAC 110Page updated 06:52 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

rebounds 13.5 → 14 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: MIA 3.40, SAC 1.36

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:52 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 215 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.5 min · no final price

Malik Monk · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · rebounds 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs MIA · last 13 games · MIA leads · SAC record 5–8 · average score 112.5–115.8 · SAC has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Jan · MIA 130 at SAC 117SAC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 7.5, expected total 224 (Tue 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 65 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 259 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 267 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 266 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 289 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 290 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 294 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 299 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 313 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 256 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 618 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 656 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 509 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 519 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.