NBA · Mar 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalDEN 124 – LAL 114Page updated 03:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 35 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: DEN 1.94, LAL 1.96

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 03:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 269 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 14 · 9.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 24 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 26.5 → 35 · 8.5 above the line · played 38.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs DEN · last 37 games · DEN leads · LAL record 16–21 · average score 112.5–114.5 · LAL has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · DEN 125 at LAL 127LAL won

5 Mar · LAL 113 at DEN 120LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAL expected to win by 1, expected total 230 (Sun 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 157 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 259 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 271 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 317 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 318 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 323 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 327 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 330 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 303 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 684 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 686 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 539 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 540 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 543 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 551 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.