NBA · Mar 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalOKC 104 – LAL 116Page updated 01:25 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 239.5 points · odds to win: OKC 1.90, LAL 2.00

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 03:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:25 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

OKC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 296 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 22 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs OKC · last 29 games · OKC leads · LAL record 14–15 · average score 111.9–115.1 · LAL has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 May · OKC 115 at LAL 110LAL lost

9 May · OKC 131 at LAL 108LAL lost

7 May · LAL 107 at OKC 125LAL lost

5 May · LAL 90 at OKC 108LAL lost

7 Apr · OKC 123 at LAL 87LAL lost

2 Apr · LAL 96 at OKC 139LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 1, expected total 239.5 (Tue 03:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 03:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 53 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 127 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 171 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 172 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 177 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 178 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 180 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 311 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 548 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 924 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1145 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.