NBA · Mar 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalMIA 100 – OKC 107Page updated 21:42 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → 37 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 227 points · odds to win: MIA 4.09, OKC 1.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:42 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 294 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.2 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 30.5 → 37 · 6.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs MIA · last 14 games · MIA leads · OKC record 6–8 · average score 108.8–110.9 · OKC has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 60 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 230 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 250 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 255 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 287 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 292 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 292 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 292 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 590 ms

odds game timelinefailed · 6002 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed · 6001 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6002 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed · 6003 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed · 6004 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed · 6005 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed · 6004 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.