NBA · Mar 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs

FinalHOU 103 – SAS 101Page updated 17:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 4 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 15 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 221 points · odds to win: HOU 1.71, SAS 2.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 274 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · no final price

Devin Vassell · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 39 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 14.5 → 15 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs HOU · last 26 games · SAS leads · SAS record 14–12 · average score 114.1–112.2 · SAS has won by 1.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 3, expected total 221 (Wed 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 53 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 65 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 177 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 197 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 202 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 223 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 229 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 237 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 251 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 131 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 499 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 643 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 361 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 632 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 661 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 682 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 709 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.