NBA · Mar 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets

FinalCLE 103 – HOU 117Page updated 14:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 10 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CLE expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 214.5 points · odds to win: CLE 1.52, HOU 2.72

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 21:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 228 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Amen Thompson · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 26 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.6 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Sam Merrill · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs CLE · last 13 games · HOU leads · HOU record 7–6 · average score 108.8–111.8 · HOU has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CLE expected to win by 5, expected total 214.5 (Sat 21:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 21:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 170 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 258 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 459 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 467 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 474 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 482 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 488 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 501 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 501 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 502 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 504 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 506 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 576 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 576 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 417 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 410 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1336 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1672 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1295 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1327 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1329 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1328 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1330 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1438 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1441 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.