NBA · Mar 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalGSW 128 – LAL 121Page updated 14:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 12 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAL expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: GSW 2.12, LAL 1.81

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 227 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 6.5 min · no final price

Draymond Green · rebounds 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs GSW · last 30 games · LAL leads · LAL record 18–12 · average score 116.7–113.1 · LAL has won by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · LAL 119 at GSW 103LAL won

28 Feb · LAL 129 at GSW 101LAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAL expected to win by 1.5, expected total 233.5 (Sun 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 117 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 285 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 270 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 288 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 274 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 293 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 294 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 257 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 411 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 415 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 417 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 420 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 329 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 926 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 949 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 835 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 863 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 887 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.