NBA · Mar 21 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Denver Nuggets

FinalNYK 100 – DEN 113Page updated 10:06 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 9 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 11 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 8 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 23 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 209 points · odds to win: NYK 4.02, DEN 1.28

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:06 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 246 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.2 min · no final price

Jalen Brunson · assists 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.5 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · points 20.5 → 23 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Miles McBride · points 12.5 → 11 · 1.5 below the line · played 44.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs NYK · last 13 games · NYK leads · DEN record 6–7 · average score 111.8–114.8 · DEN has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · NYK 142 at DEN 103DEN lost

4 Feb · DEN 127 at NYK 134DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 8.5, expected total 209 (Fri 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 8 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 100 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 103 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 119 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 125 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 258 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 509 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 552 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 435 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 474 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 483 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 484 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 490 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 490 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 496 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.