NBA · Mar 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors

FinalIND 123 – GSW 111Page updated 09:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 5 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 26 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

3-pointers 4.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 242.5 points · odds to win: IND 2.66, GSW 1.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:03 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 254 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Andrew Nembhard · rebounds 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.2 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 7.6 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 36 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 18.5 → 26 · 7.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · 3-pointers 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 14.9 min · no final price

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs IND · last 12 games · IND leads · GSW record 4–8 · average score 109.5–109.8 · GSW has lost by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 4.5, expected total 242.5 (Sat 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 35 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 66 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 290 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 302 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 306 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 309 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 310 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 311 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 313 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 335 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 40 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 345 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 771 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 364 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 373 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 901 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 427 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 435 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 501 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 587 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 592 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 738 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 857 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 860 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 868 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 945 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 988 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 991 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 993 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.