NBA · Mar 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets

FinalMEM 103 – DEN 128Page updated 06:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Memphis Grizzlies

GG Jackson · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 15 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 29 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 214 points · odds to win: MEM 7.09, DEN 1.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:13 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 218 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · no final price

Scotty Pippen Jr. · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 27.5 → 29 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · no final price

GG Jackson · points 15.5 → 15 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MEM · last 23 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–6 · average score 117.4–109.8 · DEN has won by 7.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Apr · MEM 119 at DEN 136DEN won

18 Mar · DEN 118 at MEM 125DEN lost

11 Feb · MEM 116 at DEN 122DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 12.5, expected total 214 (Tue 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 74 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 80 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 236 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 347 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 359 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 358 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 361 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 369 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 373 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 377 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 381 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 390 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 326 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 200 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 742 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 795 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3184 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3187 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3191 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3207 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.