NBA · Apr 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

FinalLAL 103 – DEN 114Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 22 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 227 points · odds to win: LAL 3.10, DEN 1.42

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 242 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Austin Reaves · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 37 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · points 24.5 → 22 · 2.5 below the line · played 39 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs LAL · last 37 games · DEN leads · DEN record 21–16 · average score 114.5–112.5 · DEN has won by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · DEN 125 at LAL 127DEN lost

5 Mar · LAL 113 at DEN 120DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 6.5, expected total 227 (Sun 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-07)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-11)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-09)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-10)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-06)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-08)ok 200 · 44 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 51 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 138 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 139 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 105 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 151 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 165 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 278 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 250 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 509 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 515 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 518 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 758 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 852 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.