NBA · Apr 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalPHX 95 – MIN 120Page updated 19:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Suns

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 33 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 214 points · odds to win: PHX 2.16, MIN 1.78

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:13 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 230 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Anthony Edwards · points 25.5 → 33 · 7.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Devin Booker · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs PHX · last 26 games · PHX leads · MIN record 11–15 · average score 111.8–112.8 · MIN has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · PHX 104 at MIN 116MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 2.5, expected total 214 (Sat 19:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 19:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 45

sds games/date (2024-04-09)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-06)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 82 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 85 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-07)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-10)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 90 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-08)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-11)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 94 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 158 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 201 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 206 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 207 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 87 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 200 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 973 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 937 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 940 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 973 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.