NBA · Apr 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at LA Clippers

FinalDAL 96 – LAC 93Page updated 19:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 23 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 18 actual

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAC expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.08, LAC 1.84

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:13 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 279 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Derrick Jones Jr. · rebounds 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 9.5 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · points 11.5 → 18 · 6.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · points 25.5 → 23 · 2.5 below the line · played 41.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAC vs DAL · last 44 games · LAC leads · LAC record 26–18 · average score 111.6–108.5 · LAC has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116LAC won

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131LAC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAC expected to win by 1.5, expected total 216.5 (Wed 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-11)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-10)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-09)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 174 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 176 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 213 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 294 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 305 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 313 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 330 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 343 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 346 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 355 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 361 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 515 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 819 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 94 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 250 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 525 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 547 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 867 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 868 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.