NBA · Apr 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalIND 125 – MIL 108Page updated 19:13 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 4 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 8 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 37 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 6 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 12 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 223.5 points · odds to win: IND 2.06, MIL 1.85

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:13 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 261 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · rebounds 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 24.5 → 37 · 12.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

Myles Turner · rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs IND · last 38 games · MIL leads · MIL record 24–14 · average score 120.2–115.4 · MIL has won by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134MIL won

6 Feb · IND 99 at MIL 105MIL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIL expected to win by 1, expected total 223.5 (Wed 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-11)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-10)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-09)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 153 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 216 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 219 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 221 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 298 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 325 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 332 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 339 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 343 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 362 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 363 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 364 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 496 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 174 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 715 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 260 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 581 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 582 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 585 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 847 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.