NBA · Apr 26 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalLAC 90 – DAL 101Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 21 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213.5 points · odds to win: LAC 2.65, DAL 1.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 15.4 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · points 25.5 → 21 · 4.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Derrick Jones Jr. · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs LAC · last 44 games · LAC leads · DAL record 18–26 · average score 108.5–111.6 · DAL has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116DAL lost

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 4.5, expected total 213.5 (Sat 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-15)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 40 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-14)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-12)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-13)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 149 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 156 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 157 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 159 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 161 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 163 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 164 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 162 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 62 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 643 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 720 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 721 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 720 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 721 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 723 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.