NBA · Apr 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalIND 92 – MIL 115Page updated 11:56 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 12 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 217.5 points · odds to win: IND 1.49, MIL 2.82

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:56 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 239 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

AJ Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 5.3 min · no final price

Myles Turner · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 23.5 → 12 · 11.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs IND · last 38 games · MIL leads · MIL record 24–14 · average score 120.2–115.4 · MIL has won by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134MIL won

6 Feb · IND 99 at MIL 105MIL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 5, expected total 217.5 (Wed 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 95 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 95 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 210 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 219 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-16)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 245 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 248 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 261 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 378 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 138 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 653 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 280 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 593 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 672 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 673 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 672 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 673 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 674 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 675 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.