NBA · May 1 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at LA Clippers

FinalDAL 123 – LAC 93Page updated 10:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 2 actual

LA Clippers

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 209.5 points · odds to win: DAL 1.76, LAC 2.19

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · points 10.5 → 2 · 8.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Derrick Jones Jr. · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAC vs DAL · last 44 games · LAC leads · LAC record 26–18 · average score 111.6–108.5 · LAC has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · DAL 103 at LAC 116LAC won

21 Mar · LAC 138 at DAL 131LAC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 2.5, expected total 209.5 (Thu 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 48

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 127 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 211 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 216 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-17)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 224 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 259 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 269 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 303 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 340 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 427 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 443 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 861 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3007 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 15 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 182 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 616 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 620 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.