NBA · May 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

FinalMIL 98 – IND 120Page updated 10:06 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 4 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 21 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 9 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: MIL 2.97, IND 1.45

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 22:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:06 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 299 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

T.J. McConnell · assists 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 22.9 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 8.5 → 21 · 12.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Myles Turner · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · rebounds 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 19 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 37 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs MIL · last 38 games · MIL leads · IND record 14–24 · average score 115.4–120.2 · IND has lost by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Mar · IND 123 at MIL 134IND lost

6 Feb · IND 99 at MIL 105IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 6, expected total 216.5 (Thu 22:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 22:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-20)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-19)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 162 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 163 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 165 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 259 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 289 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 289 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 294 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 306 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 313 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-18)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 318 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 429 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 477 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 897 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 451 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 901 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 906 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 907 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 903 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1210 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1300 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1303 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1304 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.