NBA · May 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalORL 94 – CLE 106Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 10 availability alerts

Out Nelson · left ankle injuryrecovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

Out E. Udeh, Jr. (CLE) · two-way

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Nelson · left ankle injuryrecovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

Out E. Udeh, Jr. (CLE) · two-way

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Jalen Suggs · Out · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · listed out, then played

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jonathan Isaac · Out · left knee injury management (knee) · listed out, then played

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Paolo Banchero · Out · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · listed out, then played

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Nelson · left ankle injuryrecovery (ankle) · ORL

Out Suggs · right knee contusion/bone bruise (knee) · ORL

Out Isaac · left knee injury management (knee) · ORL

Out Penda · right partially torn hamstring (hamstring) · ORL

Out Banchero · right high ankle sprain (ankle) · ORL

Out E. Udeh, Jr. (CLE) · two-way

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 325 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jonathan Isaac · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Evan Mobley · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 41.2 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 42 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Jalen Suggs · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.6 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 45.3 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · blocks 0.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs ORL · last 30 games · CLE leads · CLE record 17–13 · average score 106.6–104.3 · CLE has won by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Oct · CLE 116 at ORL 132CLE lost

11 Oct · ORL 105 at CLE 119CLE won

24 Mar · ORL 131 at CLE 136CLE won

What each defense gives up per game

ORL gives up116.2 points · 42.4 rebounds · 29.8 assists · 37.8% from three-point range

CLE gives up114.1 points · 46.1 rebounds · 25.9 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ORL gives up 116.2 points a game · 22nd of 30 · league average 113.4+2.9 vs average

CLE gives up 114.1 points a game · 17th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 23 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 29 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-24)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-23)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 32 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 149 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 148 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-21)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-22)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 160 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 131 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 161 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 70 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 36 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 225 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)failed 503 · 121 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 122 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 123 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 124 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 125 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.