NBA · May 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDAL 119 – OKC 110Page updated 03:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 1 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 2 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 217 points · odds to win: DAL 2.73, OKC 1.51

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 03:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 250 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 41.5 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · blocks 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · steals 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.8 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.7 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.2 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DAL · last 28 games · OKC leads · OKC record 14–14 · average score 109.5–108.3 · OKC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Mar · OKC 100 at DAL 87OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 5, expected total 217 (Fri 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 173 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 340 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 354 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 355 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 370 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 373 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 380 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 398 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 435 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 443 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 86 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1047 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 1050 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 343 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1749 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1752 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1844 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1845 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1910 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1915 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1916 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1980 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1980 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.