NBA · May 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDEN 115 – MIN 107Page updated 23:27 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 205 points · odds to win: DEN 2.54, MIN 1.58

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 23:27 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 223 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 41.1 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.1 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · blocks 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 45.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DEN · last 45 games · DEN leads · MIN record 21–24 · average score 112.2–111.1 · MIN has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110MIN won

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125MIN lost

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112MIN won

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113MIN won

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114MIN won

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116MIN lost

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 4, expected total 205 (Sun 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 40 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 123 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 129 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 147 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 153 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 153 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 164 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 183 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 159 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 435 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 764 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 913 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 19 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 154 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 523 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 562 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.