NBA · May 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIN 97 – DEN 112Page updated 22:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 204.5 points · odds to win: MIN 2.65, DEN 1.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 257 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 44.3 min · no final price

Rudy Gobert · blocks 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 40 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.1 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 41.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIN · last 45 games · DEN leads · DEN record 24–21 · average score 111.1–112.2 · DEN has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110DEN lost

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125DEN won

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112DEN lost

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113DEN lost

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114DEN lost

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116DEN won

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 4.5, expected total 204.5 (Wed 02:30 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 02:30 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 57 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 140 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 177 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 210 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 211 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 215 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 215 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 215 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 158 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 571 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 967 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1568 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1261 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1261 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1402 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1410 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1960 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2049 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2210 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.