NBA · May 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDAL 104 – OKC 92Page updated 21:27 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 1 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 1 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 31.5 → 18 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 213 points · odds to win: DAL 2.59, OKC 1.56

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:27 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 280 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.9 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 10.2 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 39 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · points + rebounds + assists 31.5 → 18 · 13.5 below the line · played 39.1 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · blocks 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.6 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.6 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DAL · last 28 games · OKC leads · OKC record 14–14 · average score 109.5–108.3 · OKC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Mar · OKC 100 at DAL 87OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 4, expected total 213 (Thu 01:30 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:30 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 60

sds games/date (2024-05-14)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-13)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-12)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 199 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 236 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 360 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 361 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 363 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 367 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 371 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-09)ok 200 · 373 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-11)ok 200 · 376 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-10)ok 200 · 379 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 394 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 400 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 410 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 430 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 432 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 431 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 437 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 447 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 582 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 321 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 3830 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1007 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1030 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1104 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1132 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1295 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1612 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1677 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1678 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1683 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.