NBA · May 30 gameFull sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDAL 124 – MIN 103Page updated 14:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 11 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 9 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 208.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.70, MIN 1.52

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 263 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Rudy Gobert · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · rebounds 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 43 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.2 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.8 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DAL · last 27 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–12 · average score 112.8–109.3 · MIN has won by 3.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · MIN 124 at DAL 94MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 4.5, expected total 208.5 (Fri 00:30 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:30 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-29)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-28)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-26)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-27)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-20)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 19 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 20 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-16)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-21)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-22)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-18)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-17)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-19)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-24)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-23)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 123 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-25)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 128 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 138 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 212 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 605 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1780 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 797 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 799 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.