NBA · Jun 9 gameFull sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics

FinalDAL 98 – BOS 105Page updated 14:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 12 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 214.5 points · odds to win: DAL 3.21, BOS 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 269 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 12 · 6.5 above the line · played 45.2 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 22.7 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 12 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.3 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 41.4 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 40 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 19 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs DAL · last 19 games · BOS leads · BOS record 13–6 · average score 111.7–104.8 · BOS has won by 6.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · DAL 100 at BOS 120BOS won

3 Feb · BOS 110 at DAL 100BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 7, expected total 214.5 (Sun 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-06-08)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-07)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-06)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-05)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-04)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-03)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-31)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-30)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-29)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 86 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 90 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 115 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 212 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-28)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-02)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-27)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-01)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-26)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 237 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 237 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 246 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 251 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 262 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 405 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 726 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1580 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 205 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 711 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 857 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 857 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 860 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 864 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 863 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.