NBA · Jun 12 gameFull sheet

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks

FinalBOS 106 – DAL 99Page updated 15:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 4 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 25 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 213 points · odds to win: BOS 2.29, DAL 1.70

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 233 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 11.2 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 14.3 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 25 · 10.5 above the line · played 30 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 45.3 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Derrick White · 3-pointers 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.8 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs BOS · last 19 games · BOS leads · DAL record 6–13 · average score 104.8–111.7 · DAL has lost by 6.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · DAL 100 at BOS 120DAL lost

3 Feb · BOS 110 at DAL 100DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 2.5, expected total 213 (Thu 00:30 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:30 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-05)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-06)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-04)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-29)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-11)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-08)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-07)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-10)ok 200 · 29 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 29 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-03)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-09)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-30)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-31)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-02)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-01)ok 200 · 34 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 35 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 36 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 45 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 57 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 38 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 63 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 64 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 65 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 82 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 243 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 244 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 245 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 287 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.