NBA · Jun 14 gameFull sheet

Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks

FinalBOS 84 – DAL 122Page updated 14:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 1 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 211.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.95, DAL 1.95

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 235 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · 3-pointers 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 13.8 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 22.3 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs BOS · last 19 games · BOS leads · DAL record 6–13 · average score 104.8–111.7 · DAL has lost by 6.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · DAL 100 at BOS 120DAL lost

3 Feb · BOS 110 at DAL 100DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 1, expected total 211.5 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-06-12)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-13)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-10)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-09)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-11)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-08)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-07)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-06)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-05)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-04)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-31)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-03)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 214 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 241 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 339 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 344 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 350 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 365 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-01)ok 200 · 370 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 378 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 379 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 381 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-02)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 386 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 568 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 774 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1669 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 266 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 554 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 632 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 633 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 640 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 875 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 877 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.