NBA · Jun 17 gameFull sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics

FinalDAL 88 – BOS 106Page updated 14:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 4 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 9 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 11 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 211 points · odds to win: DAL 3.22, BOS 1.39

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 227 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 41.1 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 45 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 1.4 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.1 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.9 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs DAL · last 19 games · BOS leads · BOS record 13–6 · average score 111.7–104.8 · BOS has won by 6.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · DAL 100 at BOS 120BOS won

3 Feb · BOS 110 at DAL 100BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 6.5, expected total 211 (Tue 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-06-15)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-14)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-13)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-12)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-11)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-16)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-06)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-07)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-05)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-09)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-08)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-10)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 108 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 156 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 249 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 253 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-04)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-03)ok 200 · 290 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 305 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 312 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 325 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 330 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 326 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 345 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 411 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 136 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 692 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 776 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 579 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 674 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 673 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 673 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 675 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.