NBA · Oct 23 gameFull sheet

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat

FinalORL 116 – MIA 97Page updated 15:56 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jonathan Isaac · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 3 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:56 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

ORL had 171 days off before this game · MIA had 175 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 297 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 24 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.45, Under 2.60

Jonathan Isaac · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Paolo Banchero · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.43, Under 2.70

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.40

Franz Wagner · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Jalen Suggs · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.41, Under 2.75

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs ORL · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–12 · average score 108.6–108.7 · MIA has lost by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · ORL 121 at MIA 117MIA lost

28 Jan · ORL 133 at MIA 124MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 59 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 82 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 200 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 219 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 219 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 221 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 224 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 237 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 264 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 633 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 669 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 505 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 536 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 539 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 545 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 583 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 652 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.