NBA · Oct 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 102 – DEN 87Page updated 17:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

blocks 2.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 13.5 → 23 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: OKC 2.18, DEN 1.76

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:55 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

OKC had 159 days off before this game · DEN had 158 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 318 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Alex Caruso · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jalen Williams · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60

Aaron Gordon · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Nikola Jokić · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Christian Braun · points + rebounds 13.5 → 23 · 9.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Chet Holmgren · blocks 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 23 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 2, expected total 228.5 (Fri 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 37 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 53 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 81 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 165 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 177 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 222 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 225 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 228 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 230 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 433 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 563 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 594 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 611 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 615 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 636 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 642 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 665 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 701 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 716 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 930 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1007 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1198 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1143 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2219 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 2272 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 2390 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 2485 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2489 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 2599 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.