NBA · Oct 24 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks

FinalSAS 109 – DAL 120Page updated 17:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:55 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS had 193 days off before this game · DAL had 129 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 255 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.94

Dereck Lively II · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.36, Under 2.70

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.62

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.12

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Keldon Johnson · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

P.J. Washington · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.44, Under 2.63

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs SAS · last 26 games · DAL leads · DAL record 19–7 · average score 119.5–116.4 · DAL has won by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · DAL 120 at SAS 139DAL lost

7 Feb · DAL 125 at SAS 138DAL lost

5 Feb · SAS 135 at DAL 123DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 115 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 120 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 124 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 133 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 150 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 152 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 326 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 540 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 695 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 611 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 612 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 715 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 717 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 727 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 775 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 781 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.