NBA · Oct 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDAL 120 – MIN 114Page updated 22:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 14 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 9 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 35 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 3 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 220.5 points · odds to win: DAL 2.61, MIN 1.56

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 255 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.71

Daniel Gafford · points 7.5 → 14 · 6.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.23

Donte DiVincenzo · points 11.5 → 3 · 8.5 below the line · played 26.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.36

Kyrie Irving · points 21.5 → 35 · 13.5 above the line · played 39.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.38, Under 2.65

Anthony Edwards · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.43, Under 2.70

Rudy Gobert · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.16

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.49

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.47, Under 2.60

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DAL · last 27 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–12 · average score 112.8–109.3 · MIN has won by 3.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · MIN 124 at DAL 94MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 5, expected total 220.5 (Tue 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 42 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 93 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 130 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 136 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 137 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 141 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 143 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 160 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 130 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 395 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 482 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 675 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 514 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 525 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2360 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2530 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2520 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2584 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2633 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2779 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 3004 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3058 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3095 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.