NBA · Nov 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 122 – DEN 124Page updated 06:31 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 2 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 9 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 24 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 06:31 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 192 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Christian Braun · points 13.5 → 24 · 10.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · rebounds 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 38.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Alex Caruso · points 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Cason Wallace · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Julian Strawther · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 47 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 170 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 192 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 197 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 204 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 218 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 228 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 83 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 322 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 667 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 453 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 487 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 876 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 826 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 985 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 984 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 985 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.