NBA · Nov 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIA 122 – DEN 135Page updated 08:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 9 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 21 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 13.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 08:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 174 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Julian Strawther · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 21 · 8.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 13.5 → 11 · 2.5 below the line · played 40 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.18

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.97

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIA · last 19 games · DEN leads · DEN record 16–3 · average score 113.4–105.1 · DEN has won by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 121 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 111 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 431 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 488 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 425 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 810 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 812 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 813 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 813 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 813 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.